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Autoren Aßmann, Christian; Goßmann, Solange; Schönberger, Benno  
Institution Leibniz-Institut für Bildungsverläufe; Nationales Bildungspanel  
Titel Bayesian analysis of binary panel probit models. The case of measurement error and missing values in explaining factors.  
URL https://www.neps-data.de/Portals/0/Working Papers/WP_XXXV.pdf  
Erscheinungsjahr 2014  
Seitenzahl 27 S.  
Verlag Bamberg: Leibniz Institute for Educational Trajectories (LIfBi)  
Reihe NEPS working paper. Band 35  
Dokumenttyp Monographie; Graue Literatur; online  
Beigaben Literaturangaben, Tabellen, Anhang  
Sprache englisch  
Forschungsschwerpunkt Bildungspanel (NEPS)  
Schlagwörter Markowsche Kette; Fehleranalyse; Datenanalyse; Regressionsanalyse; Schülerbefragung; Messfehler  
Abstract Since large panel data sets, e.g. on educational or epidemiological issues, are despite tremendous efforts in field work almost inevitably plagued by missing data and measurement error, the development of appropriate estimation techniques is necessary. Bayesian analysis facilitated via Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling algorithms allows for conceptually straightforward treatment of measurement error and missing values based on the device of data augmentation. Augmenting the parameter vector by the missing values allows for direct incorporation of the uncertainty stemming from missing values into parameter estimation. Full conditional distributions for missing values are provided on the basis of a nonparametric sequential regression modeling approach. For empirical illustration the proposed methodology is applied for students participating in a survey of the National Educational Panel Study (NEPS) assessing the impact of curricular reforms. The empirical application points at the necessity to cope with missing data and measurement errors in order to avoid biased estimation. Additionally a simulation study is performed documenting the adequacy of the proposed estimation methodology. (Orig.).  
Förderkennzeichen 01GJ0888